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The 18-29 demographic has usually been a huge problem for Republicans. Since the Vietnam War, only one Republican has been able to capture a near majority of the youth vote. Ronald Reagan lost to Jimmy Carter by one point in the 18-21 demo and was tied in the 22-29 age group.
Butthingsaredifferentin2024.RecentpublicpollssuggestthatTrumpiseithertiedoraheadofBideninthe18-29agegroup.ThisisaverybigproblemforBiden.In2020,Bidenreceived60%ofthe18-29-year-olddemographic.
The2020electionwasanoutriderforyouthvoteturnout.Nearly55%ofthe18-29demovotedin2020comparedtoanaverageturnoutinthethreepreviouselectionsinthemid-40s.Clearly,BidenbenefittedfromtheDemocrats’framingofTrumpasanexistentialthreattodemocracyandtherepublic.
Thatgambitisnotworkingthistime.Infact,mostvotersofallageshavetunedoutthe“Trumpwantstobeadictator”rhetoric.
TheimplicationsaredisastrousforBiden.Asignificantportionoftheyouthvoteismoreconcernedaboutinflationandtheeconomythantheyareaboutanyotherissueexceptabortion.Anddespitetherhetoric,mostwomenandmenwill
