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With a month before election day, we’re not only seeing many polls break for Trump, but Senate polling is also looking good for the GOP. For example, there are increasingly positive signs that the GOP could oust longtime Democrat incumbents in Pennsylvania and Montana. Another Senate race is tightening, threatening yet another Democrat incumbent.
Sen.BobCaseyJr.(D-Pa.)facesoneofthetoughestre-electionbattlesamongSenateDemocratsthiscycle.Whileearlierpollshadhimupbyasmuchasninepoints,recentsurveysshowhisRepublicanchallenger,DaveMcCormick,gainingmomentum.PollsfromEmersonCollegeandAtlasIntelshowCaseywithaslimtwo-pointlead,andTrafalgarhashimupbyjustonepoint—wellwithinthemarginoferror.
Meanwhile,inMontana,Sen.JonTester(D)isdefendinganothervulnerableDemocraticseat.Earlierthisyear,Testerhadacomfortablelead,buthisRepublicanchallenger,TimSheehy,hastakentheleadineverypollsinceJunewithanaverageadvantageof5.2points.Thisrace,onceuncertain,nowlookslikeastrongpick-upopportunityforRepublicans,bringingthemclosertoreclaimingtheSenate.
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