The Big Three Elections of 2025
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There are three prominent elections that political observers are focusing on this year – New Jersey Governor, New York Mayor, and Virginia Governor. The conventional wisdom holds that all three are expected to vote Democrat — which would mean that Virginia would be a partisan flip.
Therearealsolegislativeandlocalelectionsintheseareas.TheDemocratsareexpectedtoholdontotheirmajorities.
Hereismylatestupdateforeachofthesemajorraces:
NewJerseyGovernorInNewJersey,theDemocratnomineeforgovernorisCongresswomanMikieSherrill,andtheRepublicannomineeisJackCiattarelli.AlthoughtheCWclaimsthatthisshouldbeaneasywinfortheDemocrats,IhavecastsomedoubtonwhatIbelieveisjustpartisanpropaganda.Foronething,DonaldTrumpcuthismargininNewJerseyfroma16-pointlossin2020toa6-pointlossin2024,a10-pointswingtowardsRepublicans.Foranother,inNewJersey,itisveryhardforonepartytowinthreestraighttermsforgovernor.Thelasttimethishappenedwasin1961,whenDemocratRichardHugheswonina50.3%-48.7%upsetoverRepublicanJamesMitchell,aformerU.S.Secreta
