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We’re now about a month away from the election, and everyone is trying to forecast what will happen. The media is calling the race a toss-up, and technically, they’re probably right. That said, is a toss-up really a toss-up? On Wednesday, there was a viral claim suggesting that Donald Trump, based on CNN’s latest poll, is heavily favored to win. Is there any truth to that?
“CNN’spollofpollsgivesTrumpanearly70%chanceofwinningtheelection,”tweetedFoxNewsContributorJoeConchaonThursday.“32daystoElectionDay.Harris-Walzwasgivenalmostthefullbackingofthemedia.T-ballinterviews.Blatantlybiaseddebatemoderators.Itmaynotmatter…”
TheclaimisbasedonachartpostedbyEricDaugherty,theassistantnewsdirectoratFlorida’sVoice.
Whiletheclaimisbeingcommunity-notedonX,itistechnicallyaccurate.
TheaboveclaimcitesthelatestCNNpoll,whichfound,accordingtothenetworkwhenitfirstreportedit,“Amonglikelyvotersnationwide,anewCNNpollconductedbySSRSfinds48%supportHarrisand47%Trump,amarginthatsuggestsnoclearleaderintherace.